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QuotesOct 2
Illustration for the Launch & Transport sector, not a picture of the company.
Launch & TransportThe Launchers

Firefly Aerospace

FLYBULLISHPublic · USA

Alpha launch vehicle, the Blue Ghost lunar lander that made the first fully successful commercial Moon landing, and the Elytra on-orbit vehicle Visit website

$23.32
▲ +2.1% as of Oct 2

CONVICTION SCORE

49
Mixed
Execution Velocity
Score computed, inputs as of Sep 2026 · signal and velocity are editorial

WHY THIS SCORE

Methodology
Execution4940%
  • Wins in the Feed: not measured: 1 neutral item in the Feed in 90 days, none tagged as a win or a setback
  • Orbital launches: 19, 1 orbital attempt, 1 succeeded, in 365 days as Firefly Aerospace; 40 a year is a full lens
  • Revenue growth: 80, +117% a year, trailing twelve months (lower than the quarter)
Milestones4825%
  • Ladder 37: on 2 rungs (1 done, 0 in progress, 1 pending): Commercial landers deliver payloads to the Moon; Cargo landers fly to the Moon on a schedule (part)
  • Own timelines 60: execution velocity Mixed, editorial and ledgered
Signals5320%
  • Feed: 0 positive, 1 neutral, 0 negative in 90 days (+3)
  • Form 4: 0 open-market purchases, 0 sales outside a 10b5-1 plan, in 90 days (+0)
Coverage4515%
  • Breadth 75: 2 sectors
  • Scarcity 0: Launch & Transport has 11 covered names; Deep Space Logistics has 10 covered names
0.40 × 49 + 0.25 × 48 + 0.20 × 53 + 0.15 × 45 = 49.2 → 49

No editorial adjustment. A reviewer may move a computed score by up to 10 points with a reason, recorded on the scorecard.

Inputs frozen Sep 21, 2026 from the site's own feeds: the Feed and Form 4 over 90 days, launches over 365 days, revenue over the trailing year. Next review by Dec 20, 2026. The share price and analyst ratings are not inputs.

DETAILS

Cap Tier
Mid
Civ Phase
Orbital & Lunar

SECTORS

Launch & Transport ★Deep Space Logistics

Firefly Aerospace, orbital launches in the last 12 months: 1 attempt, 1 success, 0 failures. Last on Mar 12, 2026.

Launch Library 2, updated Oct 3. The conviction score's launch measure reads this record as frozen at its last re-score.

PEERS

Launch & Transport

Score, then day change (live quotes). Nearest by sector, then by score.

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