Skip to main content
QuotesSep 14
B

Blue Origin

POLYMATH
N/ABULLISHPrivate · USA

Builds reusable launch vehicles and spacecraft for commercial and government space access Visit website

Private company, no market data

CONVICTION SCORE

57
On Track
Execution Velocity
Score computed, inputs as of Sep 2026 · signal and velocity are editorial

WHY THIS SCORE

Methodology
Execution4140%
  • Wins in the Feed: 67, 2 wins among 2 sourced items in 90 days; 3 wins is a full lens
  • Orbital launches: 15, 2 orbital attempts, 1 succeeded, in 365 days as Blue Origin; 40 a year is a full lens
  • Revenue growth: not applicable: no public financials
Milestones6825%
  • Ladder 46: on 5 rungs (1 done, 1 in progress, 3 pending): A second heavy-lift reusable rocket reaches orbit; Propellant transferred between two vehicles in orbit (part); A commercial space station hosts a crew; Crew lands on the Moon again; Cargo landers fly to the Moon on a schedule (part)
  • Own timelines 90: execution velocity On Track, editorial and ledgered
Signals7020%
  • Feed: 2 positive, 0 neutral, 0 negative in 90 days (+20)
  • Form 4: not applicable, no SEC insider filings for this company
Coverage6515%
  • Breadth 100: 3 sectors
  • Scarcity 13: Launch & Transport has 11 covered names; Habitation & Infrastructure has 7 covered names; Deep Space Logistics has 10 covered names
0.40 × 41 + 0.25 × 68 + 0.20 × 70 + 0.15 × 65 = 57.1 57

No editorial adjustment. A reviewer may move a computed score by up to 10 points with a reason, recorded on the scorecard.

Inputs frozen Sep 8, 2026 from the site's own feeds: the Feed and Form 4 over 90 days, launches over 365 days, revenue over the trailing year. Next review by Dec 7, 2026. The share price and analyst ratings are not inputs.

DETAILS

Cap Tier
Large
Civ Phase
Earth Infrastructure

SECTORS

Launch & TransportHabitation & InfrastructureDeep Space LogisticsMulti Sector Wonders

PEERS

Multi Sector Wonders
Redwire SpaceRDW64▲ +1.7%
TeslaTSLA45▼ -0.7%

Score, then day change (live quotes). Nearest by sector, then by score.

HISTORY

Scorecard
2026-09-08Score7157

Computed under RFC-006 from the 2026-09-08 snapshot: Execution 41 (2 lenses: wins, launches), Milestones 68, Signals 70, Coverage 65, weighted 0.40/0.25/0.20/0.15. Replaces the reviewed editorial score; the formula and every input are on the Methodology page. Methodology

2026-09-04Score6871

Selected by NASA as the Mars telecommunications network provider on 1 September, a roughly $700M award taken ahead of Rocket Lab. A NASA selection for Mars infrastructure is the clearest read on this thesis available for a private company. SpaceDew signal, 2026-09-01

2026-09-04VelocityCautionOn Track

Caution was set against a history of schedule slips. Winning a NASA Mars contract in open competition is the opposite signal. SpaceDew signal, 2026-09-01

2026-09-02Coverage1, 121, 9, 10, 12

Sector tags filled to match the Polymath definition: launch, Orbital Reef habitation, Blue Moon logistics.

2026-08-30VelocityOn TrackCaution

New Glenn's second stage failed to reach orbit on 2026-04-19 and a booster exploded on the LC-36 pad on 2026-05-28. CNBC

The Morning Dew, in your inbox

The daily brief, live quotes and the newest signals, every morning. Plus a Friday recap of the week. Nothing else, ever.

Share this pageXLinkedInReddit