Blue Origin
POLYMATHBuilds reusable launch vehicles and spacecraft for commercial and government space access Visit website
CONVICTION SCORE
WHY THIS SCORE
Methodology- Wins in the Feed: 67, 2 wins among 2 sourced items in 90 days; 3 wins is a full lens
- Orbital launches: 15, 2 orbital attempts, 1 succeeded, in 365 days as Blue Origin; 40 a year is a full lens
- Revenue growth: not applicable: no public financials
- Ladder 46: on 5 rungs (1 done, 1 in progress, 3 pending): A second heavy-lift reusable rocket reaches orbit; Propellant transferred between two vehicles in orbit (part); A commercial space station hosts a crew; Crew lands on the Moon again; Cargo landers fly to the Moon on a schedule (part)
- Own timelines 90: execution velocity On Track, editorial and ledgered
- Feed: 2 positive, 0 neutral, 0 negative in 90 days (+20)
- Form 4: not applicable, no SEC insider filings for this company
- Breadth 100: 3 sectors
- Scarcity 13: Launch & Transport has 11 covered names; Habitation & Infrastructure has 7 covered names; Deep Space Logistics has 10 covered names
No editorial adjustment. A reviewer may move a computed score by up to 10 points with a reason, recorded on the scorecard.
Inputs frozen Sep 8, 2026 from the site's own feeds: the Feed and Form 4 over 90 days, launches over 365 days, revenue over the trailing year. Next review by Dec 7, 2026. The share price and analyst ratings are not inputs.
DETAILS
SECTORS
PEERS
Multi Sector WondersScore, then day change (live quotes). Nearest by sector, then by score.
HISTORY
ScorecardComputed under RFC-006 from the 2026-09-08 snapshot: Execution 41 (2 lenses: wins, launches), Milestones 68, Signals 70, Coverage 65, weighted 0.40/0.25/0.20/0.15. Replaces the reviewed editorial score; the formula and every input are on the Methodology page. Methodology ↗
Selected by NASA as the Mars telecommunications network provider on 1 September, a roughly $700M award taken ahead of Rocket Lab. A NASA selection for Mars infrastructure is the clearest read on this thesis available for a private company. SpaceDew signal, 2026-09-01 ↗
Caution was set against a history of schedule slips. Winning a NASA Mars contract in open competition is the opposite signal. SpaceDew signal, 2026-09-01 ↗
Sector tags filled to match the Polymath definition: launch, Orbital Reef habitation, Blue Moon logistics.
New Glenn's second stage failed to reach orbit on 2026-04-19 and a booster exploded on the LC-36 pad on 2026-05-28. CNBC ↗
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