
Blue Origin
POLYMATHBuilds reusable launch vehicles and spacecraft for commercial and government space access Visit website
CONVICTION SCORE
WHY THIS SCORE
Methodology- Wins in the Feed: not measured: 3 neutral items in the Feed in 90 days, none tagged as a win or a setback
- Orbital launches: 15, 2 orbital attempts, 1 succeeded, in 365 days as Blue Origin; 40 a year is a full lens
- Revenue growth: not applicable: no public financials
- Ladder 46: on 5 rungs (1 done, 1 in progress, 3 pending): A second heavy-lift reusable rocket reaches orbit; Propellant transferred between two vehicles in orbit (part); A commercial space station hosts a crew; Crew lands on the Moon again; Cargo landers fly to the Moon on a schedule (part)
- Own timelines 90: execution velocity On Track, editorial and ledgered
- Feed: 0 positive, 3 neutral, 0 negative in 90 days (+9)
- Form 4: not applicable, no SEC insider filings for this company
- Breadth 100: 3 sectors
- Scarcity 13: Launch & Transport has 11 covered names; Habitation & Infrastructure has 7 covered names; Deep Space Logistics has 10 covered names
No editorial adjustment. A reviewer may move a computed score by up to 10 points with a reason, recorded on the scorecard.
Inputs frozen Oct 23, 2026 from the site's own feeds: the Feed and Form 4 over 90 days, launches over 365 days, revenue over the trailing year. Next review by Jan 21, 2027. The share price and analyst ratings are not inputs.
DETAILS
SECTORS
LAUNCHES
Every Blue Origin launchBlue Origin, orbital launches in the last 12 months: 2 attempts, 1 success, 1 failure. Last on Apr 19, 2026.
Launch Library 2, updated Oct 30. The conviction score's launch measure reads this record as frozen at its last re-score.
PEERS
Multi Sector WondersScore, then day change (live quotes). Nearest by sector, then by score.
HISTORY
ScorecardRescored on Oct 23, 2026 from the site's own feeds. Strongest: where it stands on the Dew Point ladder (68). Weakest: what it has done (15, from launches flown alone). Methodology ↗
Rescored on Sep 21, 2026 from the site's own feeds. Strongest: where it stands on the Dew Point ladder (68). Weakest: what it has done (15, from launches flown alone). Methodology ↗
Caution was set against a history of schedule slips. Winning a NASA Mars contract in open competition is the opposite signal. SpaceDew signal, 2026-09-01 ↗
Sector tags filled to match the Polymath definition: launch, Orbital Reef habitation, Blue Moon logistics.
New Glenn's second stage failed to reach orbit on 2026-04-19 and a booster exploded on the LC-36 pad on 2026-05-28. CNBC ↗
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